Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 4.014016 4.298004 4.606321 4.968595 5.386188 5.856976 6.434555
2025-02-23 3.554574 3.920003 4.339703 4.865796 5.520478 6.327430 7.430870
2025-03-02 3.148367 3.543612 4.016003 4.637284 5.458385 6.549364 8.197439
2025-03-09 2.882026 3.302118 3.822301 4.537501 5.539551 6.978209 9.409332
2025-03-16 2.621963 3.042363 3.576381 4.335275 5.447834 7.150107 10.330373
2025-03-23 2.475763 2.913334 3.485363 4.330036 5.637952 7.808738 12.479669
2025-03-30 2.333148 2.776306 3.369193 4.272916 5.739875 8.363337 14.890863
2025-04-06 2.194493 2.633637 3.231725 4.166519 5.743522 8.751303 17.362263
2025-04-13 2.055804 2.481464 3.068291 4.001600 5.619955 8.858273 19.266881
2025-04-20 1.992432 2.428637 3.042675 4.049422 5.883609 9.903968 26.571669
2025-04-27 1.939201 2.385937 3.027573 4.111670 6.189745 11.228410 41.179365
2025-05-04 1.908383 2.372630 3.054727 4.248034 6.680619 13.423937 97.493545
2025-05-11 1.845992 2.315903 3.020205 4.291627 7.038397 15.802769 1619.395265
2025-05-18 1.778227 2.247371 2.962128 4.286939 7.298760 18.328816 NaN
2025-05-25 1.692369 2.147049 2.845720 4.158999 7.229149 19.438068 NaN
2025-06-01 1.630157 2.079347 2.778047 4.118246 7.383886 22.219038 NaN
2025-06-08 1.555380 1.988704 2.666372 3.978077 7.235628 23.045866 NaN
2025-06-15 1.514165 1.947700 2.635047 3.996884 7.553052 28.501064 NaN
2025-06-22 1.467837 1.896298 2.582363 3.965167 7.716708 33.931675 NaN
2025-06-29 1.417408 1.836106 2.510720 3.885320 7.708428 37.991184 NaN
2025-07-06 1.361732 1.765421 2.417074 3.749285 7.482928 38.303650 NaN
2025-07-13 1.338110 1.744512 2.409074 3.799259 7.913434 55.787328 NaN
2025-07-20 1.317496 1.727303 2.406259 3.860619 8.424978 98.481434 NaN